Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Thursday, 19 October 2023

Elon loves Optimus

 Elon loves Optimus

 

 

 

Context :

 

Elon Musk feels 'super bad' about economy, needs to cut 10% of Tesla staff ….. [  ET – 04 June 2022 ]

 

 

Extract :

 

 

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has a "super bad feeling" about the economy and needs to cut about 10% of staff at the electric carmaker, he said in an email to executives seen by Reuters.

The message, sent on Thursday and titled "pause all hiring worldwide", came two days after the billionaire told staff to return to the workplace or leave, and adds to a growing chorus of warnings from business leaders about the risks of 
recession.

In another email to employees on Friday, Musk said 
Tesla will be reducing salaried headcount by 10%, as it has become " overstaffed in many areas."  But " hourly headcount will increase," he said.


Almost 100,000 people were employed at Tesla and its subsidiaries at the end of 2021



Company may have “ Optimus “ Robot Prototype Soon

 

 

Tesla Inc may have a functioning humanoid robot up and running within months, CEO Elon Musk said on Twitter , as he postponed the electric carmaker’s second AI Day until September 30, for that reason

 

Optimus, first introduced in August 2021 during Tesla’s  inaugural AI Day , is a human sized robot Musk envisions will be able to perform mundane tasks like grocery shopping

 

 

Also known as Tesla Bot, the robotic humanoid will one day have “ the potential to be more significant than the vehicle business over time “ , Musk has said

 

 

According to a presentation made during the 2021 AI event, Optimus will be around 173 centimeters ( 5ft , 8 “ ) tall , weigh around 57 kg and have a carrying capacity of 20 kg.

It will be controlled by the same Artificial Intelligence systems that Tesla is developing for use in its electric vehicles

 

 

 

 

MY  TAKE  :

 

Ø Musk may not care………………………… [ 16 Nov 2020 ]

 

 

Extract :

 

As compared with any auto factory of the world, Tesla needs far fewer Man-hours / unit, to produce a car

 

All of his factories are highly automated with specialized ROBOTS and require very few human workers

 

Following Wright’s Law , Tesla’s labour requirement is dropping by 15-20 % with each doubling of cumulative

units produced

 

Refer :

Y=axb  

Wright’s Law Formula

Y = cumulative average time (or cost) per unit
X = cumulative number of units produced
a = time (or cost) required to produce 1st unit
b = slope of the function

Ø Second industrial revolution ? ………………………….[ 21 Sept 2015 ]

 

Extract :

 

But Western countries are not resigned to their fate of a lowered " Standard of Living "

 

 

They are gearing up to usher “ The Second Industrial Revolution “ -  in the form of Robots :

 

 

Robots 

Ø manufacturing cars / appliances / machinery / anything

Ø 3 D printing products from designs downloaded from Net

 

Ø  managing health care in hospitals

 

Ø  serving food in restaurants

 

Ø  carrying out office jobs

 

Ø  teaching in schools

 

Ø  entertaining

 

             Robots everywhere !


And these are Robots that :

 

Ø  work 24 hours/day and do not ask for a salary

 

Ø  do not " go slow "or go on a strike

 

Ø  do not demand " Quotas / Reservations "

 

Ø  do not take holidays or take " Sick Leave "

 

Ø  do not resign / demand promotion

 

Ø  neither envy other robots nor sabotage 

 

Ø  do not complain against unpleasant work

 

Ø  do not get tired and need rest

 

Ø  production does not drop after working for 8 hours

 

Ø  do not demand " Overtime Pay " @ 200 % of normal

 

Ø  perfectly co-ordinate their tasks with other robots

 

Ø  willingly " retire " at any age , whenever required

 

Ø  do not demand Unemployment/Retirement Benefits

 

Ø  may , someday , provide you with emotional support when you are sick / depressed  !

 

 

And this Second Industrial Revolution is NOT going to take a hundred years to reach the shores of India

 

 

Ø Automatic for the people: robots in the workplace……….  [ ET Newsletter /  04 June 2022 ]

 

Extract :

 

There were more than three million industrial robots operating in factories around the world in 2020, according to a report published in December 2021 by International Federation of Robotics (IFR).



It said the use of industrial robots in factories 
doubled in five years – from 66 robots per 10,000 human workers in 2015, to 126 per 10,000 in 2020.



Robot orders were up 21% overall in 2021 and increased 40% in the 
first quarter of 2022, according to the Association for Advancing Automation.



Us vs them? Robots and related technologies are typically portrayed in pop culture and the media as the enemies of human workers. But this isn’t borne out by the facts.



South Korea is the world’s most automated country, according to IFR, with a robot density (robots per 10,000 human workers) of 932, which is almost eight times the global average of 126. The country’s robot density has been increasing by 10% 
every year since 2015, yet unemployment has remained steady at around 3.5% for two decades.



According to a study conducted by the World Economic Forum before the pandemic, while some industries or roles will see job losses, new technologies will spark a net increase of 58 million jobs globally over the next few years.

In some areas – such as subsea engineering, offshore maintenance, nuclear decommissioning, deep mining, and space – robots can also carry out tasks that are dangerous for humans, it said.

Robot nations

Second to South Korea on the list of the most automated countries is Singapore, which is followed by Japan
GermanySwedenHong Kong, the US, Chinese Taipei, China and Denmark, which are tied for ninth, and Italy.

Hong Kong moved up one spot in 2020, going from sixth to seventh, while the US went from ninth to seventh and Denmark dropped from sixth to ninth. But China saw the greatest leap, with a robot density of 246, taking from 15th to ninth. In 2015, it ranked 25th, with a robot density of just 49.

Though India 
doubled the number of industrial robots in its factories from 2014 to 2019, IFR said in a 2020 report, the country still has a long way to go, with just four industrial robots per 10,000 employees.

 


Dear NITI  Aayog,

 

It is quite possible that you might already be under pressure from some quarters to come out with a POLICY document on “ Adoption of Robots in India “

 

If – and when – you do ( although a very low priority matter ), you might use this e-mail as an INPUT for framing and circulating a QUESTIONNAIRE among all stakeholder before framing a policy

 

 

 

With regards,

 

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  04 June 2022



 

 

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