From: Hemen Parekh
[mailto:hcp@recruitguru.com]
Sent: Monday, November 26, 2018 5:21 PM
To: 'Cabinet Ministers'; 'assocham@nic.in'; 'ficci@ficci.com'; 'BJP National Executive'; 'psfs@mea.gov.in'; 'Rajeev.kher@ris.org.in'; 'Sanjeev@sanjeevsanyal.com'; 'ashah@ncaer.org'; 'Pulak.ghosh@iimb.ac.in'; 'ictsd@ictsd.ch'; 'amb-indiawto@nic.in'; 'rajiv@luthra.com'; 'cb@cii.in'; 'CIMOFFICE@NIC.IN'; 'sureshprabhu@irctc.co.in'; 'nitin.gadkari@nic.in'; training@irte.com; safety@irte.com; 'secy@irte.com'; 'Shivang Luthra'; 'rajneesh@rkelectro.com'; 'sales@rkelectro.com'; 'siam@siam.com'; 'acma@acma.in'; 'ashwani.jotshi@acma.in'; 'lincy.varghese@acma.in'; 'sheetal.ghodke@acma.in'; 'meenakshi.narayanan@acma.in'; 'acma.pantnagar@acma.in'; 'anilk.unni@acma.in'; 'neeraja.raj@acma.in'; 'yogita.satpathy@acma.in'; 'secretary@meity.gov.in'; 'deepakgarg108@gmail.com'; 'info@iutindia.org'; 'director.iritm@gmail.com'; 'ctm@irte.com'; 'mobility@itdp.org'; 'africa@itdp.org'; 'brazil@itdp.org'; 'china@itdp.org'; 'india@itdp.org'; 'indonesia@itdp.org'; 'mexico@itdp.org'; 'unitedstates@itdp.org'; 'asianinstitute.del@gmail.com'; 'director@cirtindia.com'; 'irttprincipal@yahoo.com'; 'info@iilschennai.com'; 'jaspal.singh@uitp.org'; 'academic@nid.edu'; 'jeeadv@iitb.ac.in'; 'hcp@recruitguru.com'
Cc: 'ssbhalla@gmail.com'; 'bibek.debroy@gov.in'; 'ashima@igidr.ac.in'; 'rr1@nipfp.org.in'; 'ratanp.watal@gov.in'; 'ceo-niti@nic.in'; 'Indian Think Tanks'; 'Gurudatt Kundapurkar'; 'Haridas Shenoy'; 'Pradeep Talpade'; 'amit.doshi@dbcorp.in'; 'amitabh.kant@nic.in'; 'admin@narendramodi.in'; 'BJP-Dept-Heads'; 'Indrajit Sethi'; 'vch-niti@gov.in'; 'blchangemakers@thehindu.co.in'
Subject: For Attn : Shri Suresh Prabhuji / Shri Nitin Gadkariji
Sent: Monday, November 26, 2018 5:21 PM
To: 'Cabinet Ministers'; 'assocham@nic.in'; 'ficci@ficci.com'; 'BJP National Executive'; 'psfs@mea.gov.in'; 'Rajeev.kher@ris.org.in'; 'Sanjeev@sanjeevsanyal.com'; 'ashah@ncaer.org'; 'Pulak.ghosh@iimb.ac.in'; 'ictsd@ictsd.ch'; 'amb-indiawto@nic.in'; 'rajiv@luthra.com'; 'cb@cii.in'; 'CIMOFFICE@NIC.IN'; 'sureshprabhu@irctc.co.in'; 'nitin.gadkari@nic.in'; training@irte.com; safety@irte.com; 'secy@irte.com'; 'Shivang Luthra'; 'rajneesh@rkelectro.com'; 'sales@rkelectro.com'; 'siam@siam.com'; 'acma@acma.in'; 'ashwani.jotshi@acma.in'; 'lincy.varghese@acma.in'; 'sheetal.ghodke@acma.in'; 'meenakshi.narayanan@acma.in'; 'acma.pantnagar@acma.in'; 'anilk.unni@acma.in'; 'neeraja.raj@acma.in'; 'yogita.satpathy@acma.in'; 'secretary@meity.gov.in'; 'deepakgarg108@gmail.com'; 'info@iutindia.org'; 'director.iritm@gmail.com'; 'ctm@irte.com'; 'mobility@itdp.org'; 'africa@itdp.org'; 'brazil@itdp.org'; 'china@itdp.org'; 'india@itdp.org'; 'indonesia@itdp.org'; 'mexico@itdp.org'; 'unitedstates@itdp.org'; 'asianinstitute.del@gmail.com'; 'director@cirtindia.com'; 'irttprincipal@yahoo.com'; 'info@iilschennai.com'; 'jaspal.singh@uitp.org'; 'academic@nid.edu'; 'jeeadv@iitb.ac.in'; 'hcp@recruitguru.com'
Cc: 'ssbhalla@gmail.com'; 'bibek.debroy@gov.in'; 'ashima@igidr.ac.in'; 'rr1@nipfp.org.in'; 'ratanp.watal@gov.in'; 'ceo-niti@nic.in'; 'Indian Think Tanks'; 'Gurudatt Kundapurkar'; 'Haridas Shenoy'; 'Pradeep Talpade'; 'amit.doshi@dbcorp.in'; 'amitabh.kant@nic.in'; 'admin@narendramodi.in'; 'BJP-Dept-Heads'; 'Indrajit Sethi'; 'vch-niti@gov.in'; 'blchangemakers@thehindu.co.in'
Subject: For Attn : Shri Suresh Prabhuji / Shri Nitin Gadkariji
Dear Shri Suresh Prabhuji,
Speaking at CILT Expo 2018 , you said
:
“We are preparing an INTEGRATED LOGISTICS PLAN and also a portal to make logistics
efficient and cost – effective in the country“
(source : Preparing integrated logistics plan to cut
transactions cost for industry: Suresh Prabhu )
And on last Monday , PM Shri Modiji
launched a GRAND
CHALLENGE to further
improve India’s position in the World Bank’s EASE OF DOING BUSINESS ranking to the top 50 by using cutting
edge technology [ Internet of Things – Artificial Intelligence – Big Data
Analytics – Block Chain ] , to reform government processes
Please allow me to offer following
suggestion which will meet both these objectives
A : PROBLEM STATEMENT
Transport is getting to be a big problem world-wide
By 2018 , total number of cars / buses / trucks in the world was
approx. 1.4 Billion
By 2036 , this is expected to go up to 2.8 Billion ( doubling in
20 years )
I have not bothered to dig up figures for bicycles - 2 / 3
Wheeler – Tractors etc
In short travelling / transporting is getting to be a huge
headache
And emission pollution is killing millions
All over the world , experts and authorities are coming up with
a number of suggestions to solve this problem
To me, these attempts seem disparate / loose / uncoordinated /
tangential
I have yet to come across a holistic / all-encompassing /
multi-dimensional solution
Following is my suggestion for an INTEGRATED LOGISTICS PLAN [ ILP
]
B : GUIDING PRINCIPLES / GOALS of ILP
· Minimize all kinds of transport
o Minimize: Private transport / People travel /
Polluting transport
o Maximize: Public transport / Non-polluting
transport / Video-Conferencing
o Discourage: Land-based transport / “Within City
“transport / “Privately Owned transport
o Encourage: Air based transport / Water based transport / “Public owned
“Transport / Shared
transport / Night – time
transport
o Raise: “ Ease of Doing Business “ rank to under 50
o Lower: “ Cost of logistics “ from current 14 % of GDP to 6 % of GDP
C: ROAD-MAP TO ACHIEVE THESE
OBJECTIVES
o Levying of TRANS-TAX on all vehicles
from birth to death of a vehicle ( irrespective of change in ownership through
gifting / selling )
o TRANS-TAX will get collected
automatically and for each hour of a vehicle’s life
o In this collection process , there will
be NO HUMAN INTERVENTION whatsoever
o Amount of TRANS-TAX to be collected
every hour , will depend on it’s TRANSCORE
o A vehicle’s TRANSCORE will be based on
its total HQ [ Harm Quotient ] for that hour
o Higher the total HQ [ TRANSCORE ] ,
higher the TRANS-TAX ( directly proportional )
o Logic : To lower their TRANS-TAX
liability , people will opt for vehicles and driving conditions which generate
a low TRANSCORE
o TRANS-TAX will replace all other
vehicle-related taxes ( eg : Registration tax / Road Tax etc ) , other than the
GST payable by buyer at time of purchase of vehicle
o TRANS-TAX will be uniform throughout
India but credited to the State in which vehicle is, at each hour of its life
o TRANS-TAX will be computed as per
following HQ MATRIX . For exact mechanism , look up para on
TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM below
o This is a conceptual frame work and
transport experts may debate and come up with a different set of “ Factors “ /
“ Weightages “ / “ Rating Scales “
o Without doubt , all of these will differ
from country to country and from time to time , within the same country
D: LOGIC
FOR DETERMINING “HARM QUOTIENT"
HQ [ Harm Quotient] Matrix
|
Rating Scale
|
Worst (5)
|
Bad (4)
|
Fair (3)
|
Good (2)
|
Best (1)
|
|
|
Factor
/
|
Weightage
|
|||||
|
Energy
Source /
|
15
|
Diesel
|
Petrol
|
Hybrid
|
Li-ion Battery
|
Solar Roof Car
|
|
Ownership
|
10
|
Private
|
Leased
|
Short hire / Ride-share
|
Municipality
|
Government
|
|
Purpose
|
5
|
Carry people
|
Carry Goods
|
Industrial Use
|
||
|
Age
of Vehicle
|
5
|
10
+ years
|
8 – 10 years
|
6 - 8 years
|
4 - 6 years
|
< 4 years
|
|
Type
of Vehicle
|
5
|
Car
|
Scooter
|
Quadricycle / Rickshaw
|
Bus
|
Train / Metro/ Boat
|
|
Capacity
|
5
|
1 person
|
2 persons
|
3 - 4 persons
|
5 - 50 persons
|
50
+
|
|
Space
Used
|
5
|
City Roads
|
City Metro
|
Highways
|
Train tracks
|
Inland waterways
|
|
Time
when used
|
5
|
8am -10am
5pm -7pm
|
10am -12noon
7pm - 9pm
|
12noon - 5pm
|
9pm -12midnight
|
12midnight -8am
|
|
Where
used
|
20
|
Within City
|
Outside City
|
|||
|
State
of Use
|
20
|
In Motion
|
Parked
|
|||
|
If
Parked-where
|
10
|
On Public Road
|
In public parking lot
|
In Private Garage
|
E : ILLUSTRATION OF THE COMPUTATION OF HQ
Factor : Energy Source
Diesel / Petrol / Hybrid / Li-ion Battery
Powered / Powered by Solar Roof Top
Factor
Rating : 5 (Worst) / 4 / 3 (Fair) / 2 (Good) / 1
(Best)
Factor
Weightage : 15
Select : Diesel
HQ (Harm Quotient
) =
Rating x Weightage = 5 x 15 = 75
Factor : Ownership
Private / Leased / Short hire - Ride
Share / Municipality / Government
Factor Rating : 5 ( worst ) / 4 / 3 ( Fair
) / 2 ( Good )
/ 1 ( Best )
Factor
Weightage : 10
Select : Private
HQ = Rating
x Weightage = 5 x 10 = 50
Factor : Purpose
Carry
People / Carry Goods / Industrial
Use
Factor Rating : People
(Worst - 5 ) / Goods ( Fair ) /
Ind Use ( Best - 1 )
Factor Weightage : 5
Select : People
HQ : Rating x weightage = 5 x 5 = 25
Factor : Age of Vehicle
10 + years / 8 –
10 years / 6 -
8 years / 4 -
6 years / < 4 years
Factor Rating : 5 ( Worst ) / 4 / 3 /
2 / 1 ( Best )
Factor Weightage
: 5
Select : 10 + years
HQ : Rating
x Weightage = 5 x 5 = 25
Factor : Type of Vehicle
Car / Scooter / Rickshaw / Bus / Train
– Metro - Boat
Factor Rating : 5 ( Worst )
/ 4 / 3 ( Fair
) / 2 ( Good ) /1 ( Best )
Factor Weightage : 5
Select : Car
HQ : Rating
x weightage = 5 x 5 = 25
Factor : Capacity
1 person ( Worst ) / 2
persons / 3-4
persons / 5-50 persons /
50 + persons (Best )
Factor Rating : 5
( Worst ) / 4 / 3 ( Fair ) / 2 / 1
( Best )
Factor
Weightage :
Select : 3 – 4 persons
HQ : Rating x Weightage = 3 x 5 = 15
Factor : Space Used
City Roads / City Metro /
Highways / Train tracks / Inland
waterways
Factor
Rating : 5 ( Worst ) / 4 / 3 /
2 / 1 ( Best )
Factor
Weightage : 5
Select : City Roads
HQ : Rating x Weightage = 5 x 5 = 25
Factor : Time of use
|
Worst
( 5 )
>
8 am – 10 am and 5
pm – 7 pm
Bad ( 4 ) > 10 am – 12 noon and 7 pm – 9 pm Fair ( 3 ) > 12 noon - 5 pm Good ( 2 ) > 9 pm – 12 midnight Best ( 1 ) > 12 midnight - 8 am Factor Weightage : 5 Select : 8am – 10 am HQ : Rating x Weightage = 5x5 =25 |
|
|
Factor : Where Used
Within city limits ( Worst ) / Outside City
limits ( Best )
Factor Rating : 5 ( worst
) / 1 ( Best )
Factor Weightage : 20
Select : Within city limits
HQ : Rating
x Weightage = 5 x 20 = 100
Factor : State of use
In
Motion ( Worst ) / Stationary
- Parked ( Best )
Factor Rating : 5 ( Worst ) / 1 ( Best )
Factor Weightage : 20
Select : Moving
HQ : Rating x Weightage = 5 x 20 = 100
Factor : If parked
On Public Road / In Public parking
plot / In Private garage
Factor
Rating : 5 ( Worst) / 3 ( Fair ) / 1 ( Best )
Factor weightage : 10
Select : None
( since car is in motion )
HQ : Not Applicable
F :
TRANSCORE IS TOTAL OF HQs OF VARIOUS
FACTORS
So , what kind of vehicle are we
tracking ?
Diesel / Privately
owned / Carrying
People / > 10 years old / Car / 3
– 4 persons / On City
Roads / 8 am – 10 am / Within
city / Moving
What is the total
HQ [ Harm Quotient ] of this
vehicle ?
75 + 50 + 25
+ 25 + 25 + 15 + 25 + 25 + 100 + 100 = 465
This is usage having almost the “HIGHEST
TRANSCORE” (Transcore = Σ of HQs)
G :
SOME MORE EXAMPLES OF TRANSCORE
Now following usage is one yielding a
“ Very Low
TRANSCORE “ :
Li-ion Battery driven
Electric / Government Owned / Industrial
Use / < 4 years old /
Boat / carrying 50 +
persons / Inland Waterways / operating between
12 midnight to 8 am / Outside City limits /
Moving
TRANSCORE = 30 + 10 + 5 + 5 +
5 + 5 + 5 + 5 + 20 + 100 = 190
And here is one likely usage , yielding
a “ Moderate TRANSCORE “ :
Petrol / short
hire / for people / 6 –
8 years old vehicle / Rickshaw / capacity 3 –
4 persons / On City
roads / operating between 12 noon and 5
pm / within city limits / moving
TRANSCORE = 60 +
30 + 25 + 15 + 15 + 15 + 25 + 15 + 100 + 100 = 400
H : TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM
This will consist of the following :
Ø NaviC : the Navigator
Satellite based “ Vehicle Tracking / Monitoring “ system,
covering entire India. This will track all 220 + Million vehicles ,
on 24x7 , taking one reading every 10 minute to compute the HQ of each vehicle.
Final HQ for a given hour will be the average of the 6 readings / hour
Based on ( variable ? ) TRANS-TAX formula , NaviC will , every hour ,
deduct appropriate amount from FASTag RFID embedded in each
vehicle and transfer to designated account of concerned State Government
For details of how this will work , read
:
Ø All vehicles
All Vehicle manufacturers will be mandated to embedded the
vehicles with FASTag RFID sensors and other sensors ,
listed at :
Ø Internet of Vehicles [ 04 March
2017 ]
From these sensors , NaviC will be able to pick up DATA re : Energy Source – Type of vehicle – Capacity –
Manufacturing date – Purpose – Emission levels etc , from all
vehicles – ships – planes – drones etc
Trucks transporting GOODS , ( and embedded with RFID FASTags into all carried packages ) will
enable NaviC to integrate with e-way bill system , as described in :
Ø A New Way to E-Way ? [ 15 July 2017 ]
From following news ( 19 Nov 2018 ) , it seems this suggestion
is already under implementation :
Govt plans linking e-way bill with FASTag, logistics data bank to check
GST evasion
Obviously each vehicle being driven ( in
motion ) is driven by a driver with a DRIVING LICENSE.
Just like E – PASSPORTS , driving
licenses too can be embedded with RFID sensors (
carrying full data of the driver ) . This data will be picked up by
NaviC.
It is safe to assume that most – if not
all – of the passengers in a vehicle , are carrying smart phones with GPS feature . NaviC will be able to
pick up this data and figure out various kinds of
statistics ( Ave no of passengers / Total no of passengers).
CCTV cameras mounted on poles along city roads will be
capturing the data ( images ) of the HIGH
SECURITY vehicle
number plates . I
believe those CCTVs could be embedded with RFID sensors , which can relay such
data to NaviC
· Pre-loaded “ Payment Wallets “ [ FASTag ] , linked with owners’ Bank
Accounts for automatic deductions every hour
· Must have a dashboard which displays HQ
MATRIX tabulation , with current STATUS of that vehicle highlighted , for ready
reference by the driver / owner
· Since it may not be possible to have HQ
MATRIX tabulation displayed on the dashboard of a Scooter , there will be a
Mobile App for the same
Ø 24x7 monitoring through
· Central Control Room ( Central Transport
Ministry )
· State Control Rooms (State RTOs)
RTOs will be able to see on their monitors , HQ MATRIX of any
vehicle ( registered in the State ) by simply clicking on the VEHICLE NUMBER
appearing on the screen
To some extent , RTOs will function in much the same way as
the Air Traffic
Control Rooms at
various airports , monitoring the movement of every vehicle ( including
chain-snatchers riding a bike or running away after shooting )
I : HOW WILL
THIS SYSTEM WORK ?
Based on the continuous feedback ( of
position of each vehicle ) by NaviC satellite, algorithm will do the following
:
· Calculate the “ TRAN-SCORE “ for each
and every vehicle , every hour and publish it on a web site
· Based on this “ TRAN-SCORE “ compute
“ TRANS-TAX “ payable by each vehicle for each hour and automatically deduct it
from “ Onboard Payment Wallet “ [ FASTag ]
· If there is NIL balance in the Payment
Wallet , immobilize the concerned vehicle , till
payment gets made
· Provide data to Insurance Companies for
“ Dynamic “ insurance premiums payable
J : LINKAGE OF
TRANSCORE WITH AMOUNT OF “ TRANS – TAX “ PAYABLE
Since TRANS – TAX is a replacement for
the Road-Taxes ( except that it is payable and automatically deduced
every hour ) , establishing a linkage would require
, tabulating the road – taxes ( and other vehicle-ownership related taxes , if
any ) for each type of vehicle in each State
I have not done this compilation but
here is a suggestion :
Have 5 slabs of TRANSCORE as follows :
0-100 / 101–200
/ 201-300 / 301-400 / 401–500
The lowest slab ( 0 – 100 ) will attract
approximately the same amount of total ANNUAL ROAD-TAX that a given type of
vehicle is currently pays . Call this BASE
SLAB
Of course , other than a vehicle which
is locked up in a garage for the entire year , no other vehicle which is being
used regularly , can be in the BASE SLAB , throughout the year !
In fact , in the most likely scenario ,
a vehicle might have its TRANSCORE fluctuate all the way from ( say ) 50 to as
high as 450 , during
different times of the day !
Linkage for the higher slabs can be :
· 101
– 200 > 150 %
of the BASE SLAB tax
· 201
– 300 > 200 %
· 301 - 400 > 250 %
· 401 - 500 > 300 %
Idea behind such an upward SLIDING SCALE
is to discourage usages
which attract high HQ
K : HOW ELSE CAN A
NAVIC BASED “ VEHICLE TRACKING – TAXING SYSTEM “ BENEFIT CITIZENS ?
Following is a partial list :
o Vehicle Arrival / Departure display Boards
at Bus Stops – Train Stations – Airports – Sea Ports
Read : PUBLIC TRANSPORT AS A
SOLUTION ? [ 15 Feb 2016 ]
o Alerting Disaster Relief Teams –
Hospitals – Ambulances – Relatives, during accidents
o Powering Mobile Apps like Google Map for
traffic density – time – alternate routes
Read : Making Yourself
Obsolete ? [ 14 Feb 2016 ]
o “Vehicles Population Database “ by Type
– Age – Energy Source – Ownership etc
o Generation of dynamic TRAFFIC MAPS in
real time
o Help plan new traffic systems (
Hyperloop / Pod Taxi / MagLev / Cable Ways etc )
o And who knows someday NaviC may even be
able to TRACK , each Rs
2000 currency
note with RFID sensor embedded into it?
L : TIME
FRAME FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF THIS PROPOSAL
|
Event
|
Date
|
Concerned
|
|
Publish White
Paper
|
01 Jan 2019
|
NITI Aayog
|
|
Publish
Online Survey
|
01 Feb 2019
|
NITI Aayog
|
|
Publish
Survey Results
|
01 March 2019
|
NITI Aayog
|
|
Seminars (
Traffic Insti / Vehicle Mfrs )
|
01 April 2019
|
Shri
Prabhu-Shri Gadkari
|
|
Present
findings to State Trans Ministers
|
01 May
2019
|
Shri
Prabhu-Shri Gadkari
|
|
Place order
on ISRO ( System Design )
|
01 June 2019
|
Transport
Ministry
|
|
Receive
System Design- Drawings from ISRO
|
01 July 2019
|
Transport
Ministry
|
|
Float tender
for Software Design- Apps / HW
|
01 Aug
2019
|
Transport Ministry
|
|
Place orders
on Suppliers
|
01 Sept 2019
|
Transport
Ministry
|
|
Mandate to
Vehicle Mfrrs for pre-installing of required RFID sensors / other
sensors
|
01 Sept 2019
|
Transport
Ministry
|
|
All new
vehicles to be duly pre- installed
|
01
Jan 2020
|
Vehicle Manufacturers
|
|
Pilot Testing
( without actually debiting RFID Fastag in vehicles )
|
Jan 20 – Mar
20
|
|
|
System
Modifications ( SW + HW ) based on data from soft launch
|
April 20-
June 20
|
|
|
Final
launch
|
Aug 20
|
M : WHICH
COUNTRY IS MOST LIKELY TO IMPLEMENT
THIS FIRST ?
I have no doubt it will be CHINA
[ source : Beijing pioneering citizens' 'points' system
critics brand 'Orwellian' ]
Extract :
It has already began implementing a very similar system called
“ Social Credit “ to reward
or punish individuals ( 1400 Million citizens ) ,
to improve city’s BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
========================================================================
In India , we too can improve our own “ Ease of Doing
Business “ rank from current 77 to ( possibly ) 27 , by implementing my
suggestion
And without sounding Orwellian !
This blog is being emailed to the following :
|
[ Shri Suresh
Prabhuji ]
|
|
|
[ Shri Nitin
Gadkariji ]
|
|
|
[ Institute of Urban Transport – India ]
|
|
|
[ Director – IRTS ]
|
|
|
[ Institute of Road Traffic Education ]
|
|
|
[ Institute of Transportation & Development
Policy ]
|
|
|
[ Asian Institute
of Transport Development ]
|
|
|
[ Central Institute of Road Transport ]
|
|
|
[ Chartered Institute
of Logistic Transport ]
|
|
|
[ Institute of Road and Transport
Technology ]
|
|
|
[ Indian Institute of Logistics ]
|
|
|
[ Institute of Transport Economics ]
|
|
|
[ National Institute of Design - Ahmedabad ]
|
|
|
[ IIT - Bombay ]
|
Relevant Readings :
Transport Solutions ?
Must try everything [ 25 Oct 2018 ]
And here is confirmation of the
logic behind my proposal :
Highway toll policy set for a revamp: Now, pay only for
stretch you use
=====================================================
26 Nov 2018
No comments:
Post a Comment