Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Thursday, 10 May 2018

CAN WE CONVERT THIS THREAT INTO OPPORTUNITY ?


The  Sunshine  Sector ?

-------------------------

Economic Times ( 09 May ) carries following news report :







Highlights :

*  Total number of jobs in renewable energy sector world-wide ( 2017 )………………… 10.34 million


*  No of jobs in this sector in India ( 2017 )…………………………………………………………….    0.721 million


*   Therefore , India’s share of such jobs ( 2017 ) …………………………………………………      7 %


*  No of jobs in this sector in China ( 2017 )…………………………………………………………….    2.2 million


*  So , China’s share of such jobs ( 2017 )……………………………………………………………….    21.2 %


*  No of jobs expected to be created by 2050……………………………………………………….      28 million


*  India’s cumulative Solar installations ( by Dec 2017 )……………………………………….       19.6  GW


*  During 2017, India added Solar power………………………………………………………………        9.6  GW


*  India’s target for Solar power by 2022……………………………………………………………..      100  GW




My Take  :

To reach this target, India will need to install  16 GW in 2018 ( and in each year till 2022 )


To the best of my knowledge , there has been ZERO addition during the first 4 months of this year !


I would not be surprised if , during 2018 , we manage to add another  8 GW  only  !


If you want to know WHY , read :




Now that Trump has pulled USA out of Iran Nuclear Deal , we can expect the oil price to jump to $ 80 per barrel from yesterday’s $ 70 per barrel

The basket of crude oil that India imports averaged,

*   USD 55.74 per barrel in the April-February
*   USD 47.56 a barrel in 2016-17

*   USD 46.17 in 2015-16


Every dollar per barrel change in crude oil prices impacts the import bill by Rs 823 crore (USD 0.13 billion). The same is also the impact when currency exchange rate fluctuates by Re 1 per US dollar.

Read more at:


How come China manages 5 – 10 times what we are managing when it comes to Solar ?


I believe, the most important reason is its “ Political Will “


It is a national shame that the only “ Political Will “ being displayed by our politicians is :

“ How to win election, by hook or crook (or by handing out FREEBIES or even CASH ) ? “



Let us juxtapose some more stats from :





*  During 2017 , China added Solar power of…………………………………………………… 54  GW


*  By Dec 2017 , total installed Solar Power in China……………………………………….. 120  GW


*  In 2017 , no of days that Costa Rica consumed ONLY solar power………………. 300  days


Observations in this article :


Total levelised cost of electricity (LCOE) on a global average for 100% renewable electricity will decline to 52 €/MWh by 2050 (including curtailment, storage and some grid costs), compared to 70 €/MWh in 2015.

Global transition to a 100% renewable electricity system will create 36 million jobs by 2050 in comparison to 19 million jobs in 2015.
  

On the economic side of the energy transition, sufficient flow of private investment in renewables and storage technologies needs to be ensured for a smooth, fast and cost-effective transition to 100% renewable energy.


10  May  2018




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