Disruption : The Inevitable
------------------------------
Yesterday’s Economic Times carried following news :
May woo unlicensed entities by asking them not to
share revenue
Extract :
Telcos are united, for
once, in opposition to the plan on the grounds that the move would disrupt a level-playing
field and
violate current law.
The older telcos are
typically ranged against new entrant Reliance Jio Infocomm.
The tussle comes as the government,
at its highest levels, is keen on making public WiFi an election plank as an extension of Digital India and
a symbol of its success, say industry insiders.
To that end, DoT is considering ways to make the programme
attractive for all stakeholders in a bid to rapidly roll out hotspots--500,000 across the country by the end of 2018, with at least one in
every village in India.
I recollect that around 1972 , Central Govt ( under
Indira Gandhi ) erected / commissioned 2,000 TV
transmission towers , all over India, within one
year
If I am not mistaken, looming general election was the
motivating force at that time too
That single act ( whatever the motive ) , gave rise to
TV industry as we know today
But soon came Cable TV and
DTH TV and made those towers “ obsolete “
But that disruption gradually happened over next 30
years
In 2018 , things move fast
I would not be surprised if those 500,000 Wi-Fi Hot
Spots get “ obsolete “ within the next 5 years
!
By Li-Fi
Content “ streaming “ down ( or even up /
sideways ) using ordinary LED bulbs in each and
every home ( and from each and every Street Lamp ? ) at 10 Gbps
What will this do to 1
Gbps JioGigaFibre announced
by Reliance just 3 days back ?
Short answer : Disrupt
“ What / Who” else is in the process of getting
“ disrupted “ or about to get disrupted – even if difficult to perceive as
such ?
( Current Industry )
getting disrupted by ( New Comers )
* Coal
based Power Plants > Solar
Power Plants
* Banking
Industry
> FinTech
Mobile Apps
* Airlines
/
Railways
> Hyperloops
> Holo-portation
* Petrol
–Diesel
Cars >
Electric
Cars
* Paper-based
Newspapers > Walls
of homes
* Electric
Transmission Lines > Roof
Top Solar Panels
* Mobile
Phones
> Wear-ables
( tattoos – glasses – watches etc )
* Humans
Effort
> Robots
* Supply
Chain Delivery >
Drones
* Car
Ownership
> Autonomous
Ride Sharing
* Manual Stock
Trading >
Algorithm-based
trading
* Black Money
> Currency
notes embedded with RFID sensors
* Fiat based
Currencies >
Crypto
Currencies
* Lithium-ion
Car Batteries > Metal
Air ( Alu ) Batteries
* Job
Portals
> Google
Job Search
* Battery
Charging Stations > Piezo-Electric
Generating roads
* Data
Protection Law ( Draft )> Privacy
is Dead
* Construction
Industry >
3 D
Printed Houses
* Telecom /
ISPs
> Powerline
Broadband with Li
Fi
But Telecom Operators and ISPs ( Internet Service
Providers ) are
crying “ foul “ !
They are saying :
“ Public Wi Fi
is a threat to security and lead to a non-level playing field between licensed
and unlicensed players “
If they have their way , they would want to take me
back 60 years when I needed two “ Licenses “ to own / operate two radios
in my home and renew those licenses every year by standing in a long queue at a
post office for paying Rs 5 / 10 , as annual renewal fee !
These days, I don’t need a licence , either for my
radio or my TV , but I need to provide a lot of info about myself to the Mobile
Service Provider, in the form of KYC ( Know Your Customer ) for owning a Mobile
Phone
But what happens when 10,000 items in my home ( from
door handles to every ball pen to every
piece of currency note in my home ), gets a IP V 6.0 internet connection (
there will be 50,000 trillions available per
person ) ?
Each of those items will form a part of Internet of Things [ IoT ] and will be capable of
transmitting CONTENT ( voice – data – images ) , all over the World
And they won’t need ANY LICENSE from anybody
!
What will that do to the Telecom /
ISP ?
Shri Rajan Mathew ( Director General – COAI ) / Shri
Rajesh Chharia ( President – Internet Service Providers Association of India )
may want to alert their member companies to watch out for the “ Shape of Things to Come “
Reference :
09 July 2018
www.hemenparekh.in
/ blogs
With Regards,
hemen
parekh
( M
) +91 - 98,67,55,08,08
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