Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Saturday, 23 February 2019

RE: WITH RS 2000 NOTES, PROBLEM HAS


Dear Shri Bhalla,


Unfortunately, I do not have any statistics other than whatever gets reported in Media, from time to time

But I would like to make following observations :

·        All cash is not black money

·        But, all black money is either cash ( bundles of Rs 2,000 notes stashed away in lockers ) or cash “ solidified “ as Land – Gold – Diamonds – Property etc ( purchased with cash ) , or “ vaporized “ as services purchased with cash ,such as Air Tickets – Hotel Bills – Doctor’s Fees etc

·        Hence , one measure of the Black Money could be the amount of Rs 2000 notes in circulation ( relatively easy to know )

·         Another measure is the velocity with which Rs 2000 notes keep changing hands ( - a difficult but not impossible task . If there is a political will , technology is available to generate a real-time “ Currency Maps “ of India , showing how the currency is flowing – much like the Wind Currents or Sea Currents on weather maps ! )



With regards,

Hemen Parekh

========================================================================


From: Surjit Bhalla [mailto:ssbhalla@gmail.com]

Sent: Friday, February 22, 2019 6:14 PM


To: Hemen Parekh

Cc: Cabinet Ministers; BJP National Executive; psfs@mea.gov.in; Rajeev.kher@ris.org.in; Sanjeev@sanjeevsanyal.com; Ghosh, Pulak; ictsd@ictsd.ch; amb-indiawto@nic.in; Rajiv Luthra; Editors; C Banerjee; prakash.j@sansad.nic.in; Loksabha1; Loksabha2; Rajyasabha; manifesto@inc.in; BibekDebroy Member; Ashima Goyal; Rathin Roy Nipfp; Ratan Watal; ceo-niti@nic.in; Indian Think Tanks; Gurudatt Kundapurkar; Haridas Shenoy; Pradeep Talpade; Amit Doshi; Amitabh Kant; admin@narendramodi.in; BJP-Dept-Heads; Indrajit Sethi; ArvindPanagariya vice-chairman; blchangemakers@thehindu.co.in; adr@recruitguru.com; Amit Shah; timesjourno@recruitguru.com; dnajourno@recruitguru.com; assocham@nic.in; ficci@ficci.com; economist@recruitguru.com; businessleaders@recruitguru.com; tvanchor@recruitguru.com; charter@recruitguru.com; cost@recruitguru.com




Subject: Re: WITH RS 2000 NOTES, PROBLEM HAS DOUBLED !

would like to look at this evidence of black money being 1245 lakh crore - can somebody please provide the statistics on black money, how was it obtained etc - I am doing research on this very subject!
Surjit




On Fri, Feb 22, 2019 at 4:53 PM Hemen Parekh <hcp@recruitguru.com> wrote:
As per recent reports ( commissioned by the Central Government ) , total amount of BLACK MONEY in our country , could possibly be as high as : Rs 1245 Lakh*Crore


And our government , over the past 4 years, has managed to recover / unearth , Rs 78,000 crore


They say : Path to heaven is paved with good intentions !

With just 100 days left for the General Elections, one thing has been proved , viz :


Devil is in Details !



A   Minor  Matter  of   Details  ?


Some 50 years ago, IIM-A ( Indian Institute of Management – Ahmedabad ) was the only premier management institute in the country

Prof Foltz was a visiting professor from USA, who taught “ Business Policy

He had a robust sense of humor and used to tell the following story :

Once , a mouse sought consultation from the professor

During the meeting, the mouse said :
“  Sir , I am mortally afraid of the cat which keeps chasing me . What shall I do ? “


Professor : 

“ This is a problem of strategic importance and needs deep analysis. Come back tomorrow “


When mouse turned up next day, Professor said :

“ I have perfect solution . Turn yourself into a dog “



A very elated mouse ran home, singing “ I need to be a dog . Who is afraid of the big bad cat ? “



Next day , mouse turned up once again at the office of the professor and said :

“  Sir , without doubt , you have come up with the perfect solution but HOW do I morph into a dog ? “


To which , with utter disdain , professor replied :

“ Look , Micky Mouse  , as a professor of BUSINESS POLICY
I only pronounce the STRATEGY .

I cannot be bothered with working out the minor details of how to implement the POLICY “
=========================================================

BUSINESS  POLICY  :

As far as the menace of BLACK MONEY is concerned , BJP’s 2014 Election Manifesto reads ( pg 4 ) :


Black Money

By minimizing the scope for corruption, we will ensure minimization of the generation of Black Money .
BJP is committed to initiate the process of tracking down and bringing back black money stashed in foreign banks and offshore accounts.

We will set up a task force for this purpose and to recommend amendments to existing laws or enact new laws


We will also proactively engage with foreign governments to facilitate information sharing on black money

=========================================================

CONTEXT :

Just came across following news report :
Extract :
The amount of black money outside India was Rs 9.41 lakh crore or US $ 216.48 billion
between 1990 and 2008, a government-commissioned study has concluded, adding that this amount could be one-tenth of the total estimated illegal wealth.
“ Illicit outflows from the country are estimated on average to 10% of the estimated unaccounted income,” said the study by National Institute of Financial Management (NIFM)

“ Taking the capital outflow worth (stock) US $498 billion, its share in total unaccounted
  wealth can be estimated as 2.8%,” NCAER report was learnt to have concluded.
=========================================================

IMPLICATION :

If 2.8 % amounts to $ 498 billion , then the “ Total unaccounted wealth “ could be as high as $ 17786 Billion ( Rs 1245,00,000 Crore = Rs 1245 lakh*crore )

BLACK MONEY unearthed so far :

#   Black Money ( Undisclosed Foreign Income and Assets ) Act – 2015 … Rs  4,100   Crore

#   Income Declaration Scheme/PM-Garib Kalyan Yojana – 2017 …………… Rs  72,200   Crore

#   Benami Transaction Tax – 2016 ( value of attached property )……………Rs    3,500   Crore

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                      Total……. Rs  79,800  Crore  [$ 11 Billion ]
=========================================================

WHAT  NEXT  ?

Without doubt, elimination of the scourge of Black Money will, once again figure prominently in the election manifestos of BJP and Congress

Manifesto drafters are quite like Prof Foltz . Their job is to lay down the POLICY on Black Money

Do not expect them to spell out the DETAILS of how precisely, they will ensure that Rs  1245 lakh*crore worth of Black Money will get unearthed and put to productive use !


But , in case Shri Arun Jaitlyji instructs his Finance Secretary to work out the DETAILS , he may want to look up my following earlier emails

=========================================================

DETAILS  :


Baba Ramdev and Black Money  ………………………………………………………………[  29  May  2011  ]

Magic Wand ?    …………………………………………………………………………………………[  09  June  2011  ]

Create Wealth to Create Jobs  ………………………………………………………………….[  26  Feb  2014   ]

Don't Ask " How " ?  ………………………………………………………………………………….[  07  April  2014  ]

Next 100 Days  …………………………………………………………………………………………..[  16  May  2014  ]

White Holes of Black Money ?  …………………………………………………………………..[  03  June  2014  ]

A CASE FOR ZERO PERSONAL INCOME TAX ………………………………………………[ 11  Nov  2014   ]

A VIRTUOUS CIRCLE ?  ……………………………………………………………………………….[  04  Jan  2015  ]

Making Molehill out of Mountain ? ……………………………………………………………… [ 19   Nov  2015  ]

STRUCTURAL REFORMS ?  …………………………………………………………………………..[  30  Jan  2016   ]

TIME IS NOW !  …………………………………………………………………………………………….[  02  Feb  2016  ]

Don't Expect This in Budget  ………………………………………………………………………..[  28  Feb  2016  ]

Quantum Jump ?  ………………………………………………………………………………………  .[  29  Feb  2016  ]

Making India a Tax Haven ?  ……………………………………………………………………    [ 04  April  2016 ]

FDI : By any other name ?  ……………………………………………………………………..    [ 01  July  2016  ]

Prime Minister Who Listens  …………………………………………………………………………[  03  Dec  2016  ]

One Infrastructure SPV ? More will follow  ……………………………………………….  [20  March  2017 ]

 

What Goes Out , Comes Back ?  ………………………………………………………………….[ 05 May  2017  ]

Private Sector in Infrastructure ?  ……………………………………………………………….[28  July  2017  ]

Nibbling on Crumbs ?  …………………………………………………………………………………  [08  Aug  2017  ]

 

How to Raise $ 500 BILLION  ……………………………………………………………………  [17  Sept  2017  ]

From Garbage to Power ?  ……………………………………………………………………….   [ 16  Jan  2018  ]


=========================================================
22  Feb  2019


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