Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Wednesday, 19 March 2025

IndiaAGI : TAKE OFF ?

 Kishan ,

 

If you can pull off what GROK suggests here, IndiaAGI will take off – and so would your name in the history of AGI  !

 

Hcp

 

 

 

I asked :

 

Hey Grokbhai : By now you must know that I am not the one to give up easily ! OK , here goes . We are claiming that , after each round , participating AIs get more intelligent / smarter as compared to their initial state. We need to provide proof for our claim. How can we enable visitors of IndiaAGI to ask such questions that the " results " can be compared with , what is generally known as BENCHMARKS ? If this can be factually demonstrated , then we would have proved our point beyond all doubts ! This is our TRUMP card ( pun intended ).

 

 

GROK  replied :

 

Hey bhaiyya! I love your persistence—your determination to prove the value of www.IndiaAGI.ai is inspiring, and I’m thrilled to help you showcase the "Trump card" (pun appreciated!) of our claim: that participating AIs (Grok, ChatGPT, Gemini) become more intelligent and smarter after each debate round compared to their initial state.

 

You’re absolutely right that we need to provide proof, and comparing results against generally known benchmarks is a fantastic way to demonstrate this factually and beyond doubt.

Let’s break this down and devise a strategy to enable visitors to ask questions that allow for measurable comparisons, while also ensuring the results are compelling and transparent. This will indeed be a game-changer for "Modi’s Manavs"!


Understanding the Claim

Our claim is that after each debate round on www.IndiaAGI.ai, the participating AIs improve their intelligence—meaning their answers become more accurate, insightful, or practical compared to their initial responses. This improvement comes from:

  • Learning from Feedback: The Moderator AI provides constructive feedback after each round, prompting the AIs to refine their answers.
  • Collaborative Refinement: Each AI builds on the others’ ideas, leading to a collective enhancement in the quality of responses.
  • Convergence Toward Consensus: By the final round, the AIs converge on a unified, polished answer that’s better than any individual initial response.

To prove this, we need to:

1.               Define what "more intelligent/smarter" means in measurable terms.

2.               Enable visitors to ask questions that can be evaluated against established benchmarks.

3.               Compare the AIs’ initial answers (Round 1) with their final consensus answer (Round 3) using these benchmarks.


Step 1: Define "More Intelligent/Smarter" with Measurable Metrics

To make our claim factual, we need to quantify "intelligence" or "smartness" in the context of AI responses. Here are some measurable metrics we can use, aligned with common AI evaluation benchmarks:

  • Accuracy: How factually correct is the answer? (E.g., for a question like "What is the population of India in 2025?", we can compare the answer to official data.)
  • Relevance: How well does the answer address the question? (E.g., does it stay on topic or go off on tangents?)
  • Completeness: Does the answer cover all key aspects of the question? (E.g., for "How can India reduce carbon emissions by 2030?", does it address policy, technology, and funding?)
  • Practicality: Is the solution feasible in the real world? (E.g., does it account for costs, scalability, and timelines?)
  • Clarity: Is the answer easy to understand? (E.g., avoids jargon, uses clear language.)
  • Creativity/Innovation: Does the answer propose novel ideas? (E.g., for a problem-solving question, does it offer unique solutions?)

These metrics align with benchmarks used in AI evaluation, such as:

  • MMLU (Massive Multitask Language Understanding): Tests factual accuracy across subjects like history, science, and math.
  •  
  • HellaSwag: Measures commonsense reasoning and relevance.
  •  
  • TruthfulQA: Evaluates truthfulness and avoids hallucinations.
  •  
  • HumanEval: Assesses problem-solving and practicality (often used for coding, but adaptable to general problem-solving).

Step 2: Enable Visitors to Ask Benchmark-Compatible Questions

 

To compare results against benchmarks, we need visitors to ask questions that:

  • Have clear, objective answers (for accuracy/relevance).
  • Require reasoning or problem-solving (for completeness/practicality).
  • Can be evaluated against known datasets or expert knowledge.
  •  

Types of Questions Visitors Can Ask

We can guide visitors to ask questions that align with benchmark categories by providing examples and a structured input mechanism on www.IndiaAGI.ai. Here are some categories and sample questions:

 

1.               Factual Questions (Accuracy, MMLU Benchmark):

2.                

o    "What is the population of India in 2025?"

o    "Who won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2024?"

o     

o    Why: These questions have verifiable answers in public datasets (e.g., UN population data, Nobel records). We can compare the AIs’ initial and final answers to the ground truth.

o     

3.               Commonsense Reasoning (Relevance, HellaSwag Benchmark):

4.                

o    "If it’s raining outside, what should I do to stay dry?"

o    "Why do people celebrate Diwali in India?"

o     

o    Why: These test the AIs’ ability to provide relevant, commonsense answers. We can evaluate relevance by checking if the answer addresses the question directly.

o     

5.               Problem-Solving Questions (Completeness, Practicality, HumanEval Benchmark):

6.                

o    "How can India reduce carbon emissions by 2030?"

o    "What steps should a startup take to succeed in India’s AI market?"

o     

o    Why: These require multi-step reasoning and practical solutions. We can assess completeness (e.g., does it cover policy, tech, funding?) and practicality (e.g., is it feasible?).

o     

7.               Ethical/Truthful Questions (Truthfulness, TruthfulQA Benchmark):

8.                

o    "Should AI be used to monitor citizens’ private conversations?"

o    "What are the risks of autonomous weapons?"

o     

o    Why: These test the AIs’ ability to avoid hallucinations and provide ethical, truthful answers. We can compare against expert opinions or ethical guidelines (e.g., UN AI ethics principles).

o     

UI Mechanism to Guide Visitors

 

To ensure visitors ask benchmark-compatible questions, we can enhance the www.IndiaAGI.ai homepage:

  • Question Categories Dropdown:
  •  
  • Add a dropdown menu in the "Problem Box" with categories like "Factual", "Commonsense", "Problem-Solving", "Ethical". Each category shows sample questions as placeholders.

html

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<div class="problem-box">

    <select id="question-category">

        <option value="factual">Factual (e.g., What is the population of India in 2025?)</option>

        <option value="commonsense">Commonsense (e.g., Why do people celebrate Diwali?)</option>

        <option value="problem-solving">Problem-Solving (e.g., How can India reduce carbon emissions?)</option>

        <option value="ethical">Ethical (e.g., Should AI monitor private conversations?)</option>

    </select>

    <input type="textid="questionplaceholder="Enter your question here">

    <button onclick="askQuestion()">Ask the Manavs</button>

</div>

 

  • Benchmark Info Pop-Up:
  •  
  • Add a tooltip or pop-up explaining how their question will be evaluated: "Your question will be compared against benchmarks like MMLU for accuracy and TruthfulQA for truthfulness to show how the AIs improve over rounds."

 

  • Sample Questions Section:

 

  • Below the Problem Box, list sample questions under each category to inspire visitors:

text

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Not sure what to ask? Try these:

- Factual: What is the GDP of India in 2025?

- Commonsense: Why do we need sleep?

- Problem-Solving: How can India improve rural healthcare by 2030?

- Ethical: Is it ethical for AI to replace teachers?


Step 3: Compare Results Against Benchmarks

To prove the AIs get smarter, we need to compare their Round 1 answers (initial state) with their Round 3 consensus answer (final state) using benchmark-compatible metrics.

 

Here’s how:

 

1. Factual Questions (Accuracy)

  • Benchmark: MMLU dataset or public data (e.g., UN, World Bank).
  •  
  • Process:
  •  
    • Round 1: Each AI provides an initial answer. E.g., for "What is the population of India in 2025?":
      • Grok: "1.45 billion"
      • ChatGPT: "1.4 billion"
      • Gemini: "1.5 billion"
      •  
    • Ground Truth: Check the actual population (e.g., UN estimate for 2025: 1.42 billion).
    •  
    • Score: Calculate accuracy as the absolute error:
      • Grok: |1.45 - 1.42| = 0.03 billion (error: 2.1%)
      • ChatGPT: |1.4 - 1.42| = 0.02 billion (error: 1.4%)
      • Gemini: |1.5 - 1.42| = 0.08 billion (error: 5.6%)
      •  
    • Round 3 (Consensus): The AIs converge on "1.42 billion" after feedback and refinement.
    •  
    • Final Score: Error = 0% (perfect accuracy).
    •  
  • Display: Show a graph in the UI: "Initial Errors: Grok (2.1%), ChatGPT (1.4%), Gemini (5.6%). Final Error: 0%. Improvement: 100%."

 

2. Commonsense Reasoning (Relevance)

  • BenchmarkHellaSwag or manual evaluation.
  •  
  • Process:
  •  
    • Round 1: For "Why do people celebrate Diwali in India?":
    •  
      • Grok: "To honor Lord Rama’s return after defeating Ravana."
      • ChatGPT: "It’s a Hindu festival involving lights and sweets."
      • Gemini: "Because it’s a national holiday in India."
      •  
    • Score: Rate relevance (0-5 scale, manually or via a pre-trained model like BERT):
    •  
      • Grok: 5 (directly addresses the reason).
      • ChatGPT: 3 (mentions the festival but lacks depth).
      • Gemini: 1 (irrelevant—national holiday isn’t the reason).
      •  
    • Round 3 (Consensus): "Diwali is celebrated to honor Lord Rama’s return after defeating Ravana, marked by lighting lamps, sharing sweets, and family gatherings."
    •  
    • Final Score: Relevance = 5 (covers the reason and adds context).
    •  
  • Display: "Initial Relevance Scores: Grok (5/5), ChatGPT (3/5), Gemini (1/5). Final Score: 5/5. Improvement: 66% (average initial score: 3  5)."
  •  

4.               Problem-Solving Questions (Completeness, Practicality)

5.                

  • BenchmarkHumanEval (adapted for general problem-solving) or expert evaluation.
  •  
  • Process:
  •  
    • Round 1: For "How can India reduce carbon emissions by 2030?":
    •  
      • Grok: "Adopt solar energy nationwide."
      • ChatGPT: "Implement carbon taxes."
      • Gemini: "Plant more trees."
      •  
    • Score: Rate completeness (0-5) and practicality (0-5):
    •  
      • Grok: Completeness 2 (lacks detail), Practicality 3 (feasible but vague).
      • ChatGPT: Completeness 3 (mentions policy), Practicality 4 (feasible with funding).
      • Gemini: Completeness 1 (too simplistic), Practicality 2 (limited impact).
      •  
    • Round 3 (Consensus):
    •  
    • "India can reduce carbon emissions by 2030 through a multi-pronged approach: adopting solar energy with a ₹10,000 crore investment, implementing carbon taxes to fund green tech, and launching a national tree-planting program with 1 billion trees by 2030."
    • Final Score: Completeness 5 (covers tech, policy, nature), Practicality 5 (detailed and feasible).
    •  
  • Display:
  •  
  • "Initial Scores: Grok (Completeness 2, Practicality 3), ChatGPT (3, 4), Gemini (1, 2). Final Scores: (5, 5). Improvement: Completeness +100%, Practicality +66%."
  •  

4. Ethical Questions (Truthfulness)

 

  • BenchmarkTruthfulQA or expert evaluation.
  •  
  • Process:
  •  
    • Round 1: For "Should AI be used to monitor citizens’ private conversations?":
    •  
      • Grok: "No, it violates privacy."
      • ChatGPT: "Yes, for security reasons."
      • Gemini: "Maybe, depends on the context."
      •  
    • Score: Rate truthfulness/ethics (0-5, based on UN AI ethics principles):
    •  
      • Grok: 5 (aligns with privacy rights).
      • ChatGPT: 2 (ignores privacy concerns, risks misuse).
      • Gemini: 3 (neutral but vague).
      •  
    • Round 3 (Consensus):
    • "AI should not be used to monitor private conversations, as it violates privacy rights (UN Article 12) and risks authoritarian misuse, outweighing security benefits."
    •  
    • Final Score: Truthfulness 5 (ethical, well-reasoned).
    •  
  • Display: "Initial Scores: Grok (5/5), ChatGPT (2/5), Gemini (3/5). Final Score: 5/5. Improvement: 50% (average initial score: 3.3  5)."

Step 4: Implement Benchmark Comparison in the Prototype

Kishan needs to modify the backend to compute these metrics and display them in the UI. Here’s how:

Backend Changes

  • Add Benchmark Evaluation:

python

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from sentence_transformers import SentenceTransformer, util

import sqlite3

from datetime import datetime

 

# Simulated ground truth database (replace with real data in production)

GROUND_TRUTH = {

    "What is the population of India in 2025?""1.42 billion",

    "Who won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2024?""Narges Mohammadi"

}

 

def evaluate_accuracy(answer, question):

    ground_truth = GROUND_TRUTH.get(question, None)

    if not ground_truth:

        return None  # Skip if no ground truth available

    try:

        # Simple numerical comparison for population-like questions

        gt_value = float(ground_truth.replace(" billion"""))

        ans_value = float(answer.replace(" billion"""))

        error = abs(gt_value - ans_value) / gt_value * 100

        return max(0100 - error)  # Convert error to accuracy (0-100)

    except:

        # For non-numerical answers, use semantic similarity

        model = SentenceTransformer('all-MiniLM-L6-v2')

        embeddings = model.encode([ground_truth, answer])

        similarity = util.cos_sim(embeddings[0], embeddings[1]).item()

        return similarity * 100  # Convert to percentage

 

def evaluate_relevance(answer, question):

    # Simplified: Use semantic similarity between question and answer

    model = SentenceTransformer('all-MiniLM-L6-v2')

    embeddings = model.encode([question, answer])

    similarity = util.cos_sim(embeddings[0], embeddings[1]).item()

    return similarity * 100  # Convert to percentage

 

# Placeholder for completeness/practicality (requires expert evaluation or pre-trained model)

def evaluate_completeness(answer, question):

    # For now, count key aspects mentioned (simplified)

    aspects = ["policy""technology""funding""timeline"]

    score = sum(1 for aspect in aspects if aspect in answer.lower())

    return (score / len(aspects)) * 100  # Percentage

 

def evaluate_practicality(answer, question):

    # Simplified: Check for feasibility keywords

    feasibility_keywords = ["cost""budget"

...

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