Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Monday 29 February 2016

RE: A TALE OF TWO TRACKING


Don't   Expect   This  in  Budget


Don't expect my following suggestion to figure in the Budget speech which, Shri Jaitleyji will read in Lok Sabha , a few hours from now
 
But then it does not have to be !

First break the unwritten rule :  " If a reform was not announced in Budget , then it cannot be implemented "

My suggestion is about ATM V 2.0


Many decades ago , ATM were first introduced in America when banks found long lines of customers waiting to withdraw cash at the CASH COUNTER

In America , cashiers are called TELLERS . So these CASH DISPENSING machines came to be called AUTOMATIC TELLER MACHINE ( ATM )

In India , we call these ANY  TIME ( cash ) MACHINE , which give out cash upon

*  entering a few  details / code numbers into ATM screen

*  amount of cash you want to withdraw  and

*  inserting your ATM Card in the machine

ATM prints out a slip of paper incorporating full details of the transaction / customer name etc

I believe , nowadays , any ATM accepts ATM card issued by any bank , so you need not worry to find a ATM belonging to YOUR bank ( where you have YOUR bank account )


MY  SUGGESTION  :


*  Come out with ATM V 2.0 ( call it , " Automatic Taker Machine " ? )

*  Install one in every bank branch and at 145,000 post offices ( India Post's Payment Banks )


*  ATM V 2.0 does  NOT  " dispense" cash . It only " accepts " cash  !


*  Cash depositor will enter personal details ( Aadhar No / Jan Dhan Bank A/C No etc ) and amount being deposited

*  ATM V 2.0 will count the cash ( much like currently used CASH COUNTERS at most bank branches )

*  It will print out a RECEIPT , giving full details

All ATMs ( V 2.0 ) will be inter-connected in a Network having a CENTRAL server

All cash deposited ( by every user ) will be used for Infrastructure SPV

Depositor will earn annual interest @ 5 % on CASH deposited ( Receipt wise )

Cash Receipts can be en-cashed upon maturity of 10 years ( like FIXED DEPOSIT receipts )

Interest will be TAX FREE and get directly deposited in depositor's Jan Dhan Bank A/c

*  No questions ( as to the source of the cash deposited ) will be asked ( Perpetual Amnesty Scheme )


I understand , Jan Dhan Yojana managed to garner deposits of approx Rs 30 thousand crores in 18 months

ATM V 2.0 , will bring back those Rs 34.4 lakh*crores of undisclosed assets that are lying in foreign banks ,

AND

Rs 340 lakh*crores of unaccounted BLACK MONEY lying in domestic bank lockers ( or locked up as gold / land )


In deep space , there are BLACK HOLES which suck in all matter . Even light cannot escape from a black hole

ATM V 2.0 will be our WHITE HOLES which will suck in all black money Indians have stashed anywhere  !

Let us use this INNOVATION , which is simply re-configuring  well-established and straight forward HW / SW !


Dear Shri Jaitleyji ,

There is no need to worry about how to raise revenue to fund those Infrastructure Projects to generate jobs

No need to widen tax net ( from 4 % to 23 % ) or borrow money from market or abroad

No need to announce in your budget speech this morning  ! No passing of any BILL in Rajya Sabha !

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29  Feb  2016
    






Warm Regards,

Hemen Parekh

(M)=91 – 98,67,55,08,08

From: Hemen Parekh [mailto:hcp@recruitguru.com]
Sent: Sunday, February 28, 2016 9:20 AM
To: Hemen Parekh; 'shaktikanta.das@nic.in'; 'narendramodi1234@gmail.com'
Cc: 'Hasmukh Adhia'; 'ajaitley@del5.vsnl.net.in'; 'jayant.sinha19@sansad.nic.in'; 'piyush.goyal@gov.in'; 'nitin.gadkari@nic.in'; 'spprabhu1@rediffmail.com'; 'kalraj@kalrajmishra.com'; 'bandaru@sansad.nic.in'; 'amitabh.kant@nic.in'; 'smritizirani@nic.in'; 'nsitharaman@nic.in'; 'nandan@nandannilekani.in'; 'viral@juliacomputing.com'; Editors; L T Story; Loksabha1; Loksabha2; Rajyasabha; TV Anchors
Subject: A TALE OF TWO TRACKING

A  Tale  of  Two  Tracking   !


State of Maharashtra has a total of 50 prisons , of which 9 are Central jails

Between them , they house 25,000-30,000 inmates

The country as a whole, has some 1,387 prisons , housing approx 356,000 prisoners

Maharashtra government has decided to introduce " chip or bracelet " tracking system for prisoners and is in the process of signing an agreement with the Israeli Government under which , private Israeli companies will implement this " tracking " project


Why all this rush for a technology driven reform  ?

Because , in March 2015 , five criminals had fled from the Nagpur jail after climbing boundary wall  !

But no one in government seems to be really bothered with the following :

*  There are billions of high currency notes ( Rs 500 / 1000 ) in circulations

*  A whole lot of these are unaccounted BLACK MONEY income, on which no tax got paid

*  Many more billions are stashed in secret bank lockers , which occasionally "escape" for purchase of gold/land etc

*  High currency notes worth Rs 34.4 lakh*crore have "climbed" national boundaries and escaped without "trace" !
 
*  Today , Government has absolutely no mechanism to " track / trace " such escapes

*  In India more than 90% of all payments ( for goods and services ) are in CASH , quite a few , using these high
    currency notes

*  If payments are made in CASH , no GST / Service Tax can be collected

*  But if the payments get made through official channels ( ECS / Bank Transfers / Credit Cards / Mobile Wallets
    etc ) , then GST can be collected ( or a BTT - Bank Transaction Tax , can be levied )


Now , instead of " dehumanizing " 30,000 prisoners with a RFID-embedded collar around their necks ( as it
happened with Rajat Gupta of McKinsey fame , a few weeks back in New York ) , just so that you can track some
5 prisoners , would it not be much better / wiser to :


*  Discontinue paper-based currency notes of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 ( and withdraw in 6 months , with advance notice )


*  Introduce plastic currency notes of Rs 500 / 1,000 which are embedded with RFID sensors ( far thinner than a human hair  ! ) , always broadcasting their presence to Internet of Things ( IoT )

I believe Govt is launching ONE BILLION plastic currency notes of Rs 10 denomination , later this year

Let us make this a PILOT PROJECT , by embedding these with RFID sensors . We will learn a lot in " tracking " ! 


*  Assign to each such note, a IP V 6.0 address , linked to its unique note number


*  Set up a IT-enabled Technology Platform which will constantly monitor any accumulation of Rs 500 / 1000
    RFID embedded notes in excess of Rs ONE CRORE within an area of ONE square meter


Why waste time in tracking a few escaped prisoners ?


Why not leverage technology to track those billions of notes and their criminal owners who are destroying our economy ?


Mr Arvind Subramanian ( Chief Economic Adviser ) should have recommended this in his ECONOMY SURVEY , instead of suggesting to expand tax net to cover 23 % of the Indian citizens , against current 4 %


I believe , humble RFID sensor can get ten times more tax revenue than expanding tax-net to 23 % of citizens !


Incidentally :

Should Shri Jaitley-ji propose expanding the tax-net as suggested , in his budget speech tomorrow , do you know what would happen ?

You don't need to be a Nostradamus to foresee BJP losing ALL state and central elections for the next 10 years !

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


28  Feb  2016










Warm Regards,

Hemen Parekh

(M)=91 – 98,67,55,08,08




A report in Business Line ( 25 Feb 2016 ) , reads :

"  Centre wants Indians to abandon cash and make digital payments "

The report lists following measures announced by NDA govt on 24 Feb :

*  Withdrawal of surcharge / service charge / convenience fee on card / digital
 
    payments , currently imposed by govt departments

*  Payments beyond a prescribed threshold only in card / digital mode

*  Rationalize telecom service charges for digital financial transactions

*  Promote mobile banking

*  Create assurance mechanisms for quick resolution of fraudulent transactions

*  Review payment ecosystem in the country


To make it easy for people to make digital payments , Government has already installed :

*  Electronic Clearing Service Scheme

*  National Electronic Funds Transfer

*  Real Time Gross Settlement Scheme

*  Direct transfer of Subsidies to bank accounts of beneficiaries

*  Providing RuPay debit cards

*  Allowing setting up of Payment Banks

Surely , all of these steps will make it EASY for people to GRADUALLY switch over to making digital payments


But , if the HIDDEN AGENDA of the Government behind all of these initiatives , is to reduce / eliminate the scourge of
BLACK MONEY ( always and entirely CASH ) , then the only initiative which will COMPEL people to  " TRASH the CASH " and move over to digital payments in a HURRY, is my oft-repeated suggestion as follows :
*  Discontinue paper-based currency notes of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000


*  Introduce plastic currency notes of Rs 500 / 1,000 which are embedded with RFID sensors ( far thinner than a human hair  ! ) , always broadcasting their presence to Internet of Things ( IoT )


*  Assign to each such note, a IP V 6.0 address , linked to its unique note number


*  Set up a IT-enabled Technology Platform which will constantly monitor any accumulation of Rs 500 / 1000
    RFID embedded notes in excess of Rs ONE CRORE within an area of ONE square meter


If there is a political will , technology can bring this revolution in 6 months  !


Can we expect Shri Jaitley-ji to conclude his Budget speech on 29 Feb , with this announcement ?

The applause that follows will be heard around the World  !

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------


26  Feb  2016 




Warm Regards,

Hemen Parekh

(M)=91 – 98,67,55,08,08


Exporting    Manpower  ?


Our exports have been falling, month after month , for the past 18 months in a row


But this is not unique to India


With rapidly shrinking World Trade , exports of nearly all countries around the world are falling


Barring a few exceptions , economies of all the countries are declining


So , it came as a surprise to read a news report ( BL / 20 Feb ) , that , despite the fact that Malaysia has 2.1 million registered foreign workers and 1.7 million illegal foreign workers , it signed a deal with Bangladesh to hire another 1.5 million Bangladeshi workers , over the next 3 years  !


As expected, local trade unions have criticized this deal


Now let us not start putting together a strategy for Manpower Export , despite the fact that of all the countries in the World , India has the largest number of its citizens working abroad ( legal + illegal )


I believe , close to 22 million persons of Indian origin , with some 7 million in Gulf Countries


But trade unions and political parties everywhere are vehemently opposed to migrant workers who take away jobs from local residents


Even EU , which accepted some 1 million refugees from war-torn Syria / Iraq / Afghanistan , in 2015 , have started repatriating what it terms as " Economic Migrants "  seeking " better life " in EU , as distinct from political refugees


But that is not stopping 3000 such " refugees "(political or economic), from forcing their way into EU , every day  !


Within India , we have seen in the past ( and continue to witness , currently ) , economically backward people ( euphemism for " poor " ) , migrating to cities in other relatively affluent States , in search of livelihood , occasionally . causing resentment among local citizens


So far , such inter-state migrations have not caused any serious problem because of our Unifying forces of religion / language / culture / heritage / traditions and our Constitution


But with annual addition of some 12 million persons (including some 3.5 million graduates ), to our legions of jobseekers , things could get ugly - especially since neither the Public nor the Private sector , can create this many jobs every year !


We need to find ways in which these millions can become " Self Employed "


I hope that each and every announcement that Shri Jaitley makes in his budget speech on 29 Feb , would lead to creation of " Self Employment " in the economically backward States of India


With most of our States being the size of many EU countries , we may not be in a position to Export Manpower , even across our State boundaries , forget across the  International borders  !


For Indian Federal structure to hold together , we must work on the double to reduce inequality between States !


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

24  Feb  2016





Warm Regards,

Hemen Parekh
(M)=91 – 98,67,55,08,08


International    Exchange   Program


We have all heard about these programs under which , ( for example ) students from India would go to USA , spend a few weeks with American families and even attend local universities


In turn , American students would spend similar period in India ( may be , with the parents of those Indian students who went to USA  ) and attend Indian Colleges


In the process , both groups learn the customs / traditions / life-styles of their host Societies


I suppose , they also learn quite a lot about the Education Systems of host countries


Which would include , academic pursuit and teaching methods


But , above all , they would learn how the students behave in the class rooms and how the teachers maintain discipline


I believe , it must be a " Shocking " experience for those Indian students to find that professors in USA wield unimaginable  power , unfettered by the Dean or Chancellor of those colleges

Eg :

*   A professor's is the final word in the evaluation of any student ( no court of higher appeal )

*   Quite a lot of that evaluation is based on the number and the quality of questions asked by the students

*   " Shot-gun "  exams are a teacher's way of judging the progress of the students

*   If any student absents from class room without a satisfactory reason ( ie satisfactory to the subject teacher ),
     the teacher can simply tell him to stop attending the classes ! Heavy rains or snow storm does not count !


And the Dean cannot question the professor's decision


*   Teachers don't prescribe any text books , but they may suggest a dozen books to refer to

*   Many teachers just " refuse to teach " ! They insist that the students come to class , having " self taught " the
    subject and the class room is only for the purpose of "solving difficulties" faced by students while self-teaching !


*   Emphasis is not on a student remembering the exact mathematical equation but on knowing which equation to
     use  !

     Hence , most professors will allow a student to look up any book during an exam  !


*   Even arriving at the exact / precise " answer " is not considered important . It is your " approach " to solving a
     problem that counts more .

Were you able to suggest a non-traditional and distinctly innovative " approach " ?



MORAL   OF  THE  STORY  :



How about Shri Narendra Modiji ( himself , a champion of " Out of Box " thinking ) , signing an " Exchange Agreement "  with President Obama , under which , a batch of 40 Indian Legislators ( to begin with , opposition members of Rajya Sabha ) , are deputed to USA for 6 months ( or till GST Bill gets passed ? ) to attend the sessions of US Congress / Senate , to learn / imbibe their ways of conducting official business ?


Of course , our deputed legislators must be paid a " Copycat-ing Allowance " of $ 100 per day while in USA  !

After all , cafeteria in American Congress building does not provide "dosas" @ Rs 2 per piece !


While readily agreeing to the Indian request , it is quite possible that President Obama may politely decline to send the American Legislators to attend our Lok Sabha / Rajya Sabha's budget session  ! Entirely understandable  !


Dear Shri Venkaiah-ji :


 You may get much more cooperation from all parties after 6 months  !


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


23  Feb  2016





Warm Regards,

Hemen Parekh

(M)=91 – 98,67,55,08,08


A   Laughing   Matter  ?


Last evening, TV channels showed the traditional " Halwa Ceremony " in the Finance Ministry building

With this , the process of preparing / printing of the Union Budget starts

The people involved will stay " imprisoned / incommunicado " till FM completes his budget speech on 29th Feb , to ensure that the budget provisions do not leak out

That does not stop the experts ( - and some non-experts like me ) , to make predictions such as :

Revising limits for personal Income Tax slabs

Reducing rates for TDS

Rationalizing procedures ( assessment scrutiny / tax refunds / tax litigations etc )

Launching new Schemes / Funds for savings and investments

Increase / decrease of Excise rates on products ( watch out smokers and drinkers ! )

Increase / decrease of Import Duties on products to protect local industries / stop dumping from China

Recapitalization of Banks ( to write-off Rs 7 lakh*crore of NPA with tax payers money )

Write-off DISCOM debts of Rs 4 lakh*crores by passing the buck to State Governments ( tax payer burden ? )

Write off loans to farmers - what with elections looming in 5 States ( but I support this  )


News papers report that the Government have received budget suggestions from some 7,000  persons and that , this time around , Prime Minister himself is closely involved in the budget making exercise

Now , with all this obsession / seriousness / paranoia , surely this secrecy surrounding the budget document , cannot be a laughing matter  !

Unless you ask ,

* some foreign software geeks ( eg: Sundar Pichai / Satya Nadela / Vivek Ranadive / Ray Kurzweil etc )

* some Indian BIG  DATA  ANALYTICS geeks ( Mukund / Krishnan / Sanjay / Srikant / Raj / Anurag etc )


Because , if you do , they will laugh and tell you :


Just give us the actual budget documents of the past 60 years ( including the accompanying budget speeches ) and we will process these documents using Big Data Analytics software and predict what will be the provisions in the forthcoming budget ( with a probability of 99.7 % - ie ; plus or minus six standard deviation )


And then , we will process those past budget speeches with a PARAPHRASING software ( ala Kurzweilai.net ) and give you an advance print-out of Shri Arun Jaitleyji's speech on 29th Feb  "


But of course , Shri Jaitleyji could cheat the PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS , by announcing following unpredictable  :


*   Total Abolition of Personal Income Tax ( or at least , reducing incremental tax rates in each higher slab )

*   Decreasing Incremental Corporate Tax Rates , linked with each higher slab of " Permanent Employee Number "

*   Perpetual Amnesty Scheme for all CASH deposits made in Jan Dhan Accounts , if invested in tax-free Infra SPVs

*   Transfer of 1.8% of GST (from 18%) into buyers' PPF a/c , to ensure all citizens get PPF a/c for tax-free savings

     This amount to be used for paying premium for COMPREHENSIVE HEALTH INSURANCE to cover all illnesses

*   Introduction of plastic Currency Notes of Rs 500/1000, embedded with micro RFID sensors ( stop Black Money )

     Surest way to ensure that almost all payments are made thru official channels !

*   Introduction of BTT ( Bank Transaction Tax ) @ 2% to yield Rs 15 lakh*crore of revenue ( against revenue loss
    of  Rs 2.5 lakh*crores caused by abolishing Personal Income Tax )


Now such announcements , besides being " Unpredictable " , would meet Shri Narendra Modiji's following announcement at Make in India week on 13th Feb  :


There is no time for incremental changes . We want a quantum jump  "


Any other budget provision / announcement , would be a laughing matter  !

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20  Feb  2016
    
 
   



Warm Regards,

Hemen Parekh

(M)=91 – 98,67,55,08,08


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