Dear
Friends ,
I
got your email ID , courtesy Suniti
For
the past one year , I am busy promoting my web site,
And
some of us ( about 12/14 ) ex-L&T friends meet over lunch , once in 2 months
( - a fine initiative of Waman Danait )
In
fact , we are meeting tomorrow !
In
the meantime , you may like to go thru my following blog
with
regards,
hemen
parekh
www.hemenparekh.in >
Letters to L&T Employees
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Poll-Results are
Out
Almost one year back , I wrote
the following blog, listing my own predictions for NDA Government's likely
achievements, after 3 years in power
To be fair , only ONE
year has elapsed !
I am sure tempo of reforms will
pick up in the days and months to come, - and prove me wrong !
hemen parekh
16 May 2015
--------------------------------------------------------
What
Are the Chances ?
Over the past few weeks , we
saw many surveys re: which political party will win how many Lok Sabha seats
These included , Times Now-ORG
/ CNN-IBN-CSDS / Headlines Today - Cicero / ABP News-Nielsen / News 24 -
Today's Chanakya / Cvoter - India TV etc
Although , " Today's
Chanakya " came closest to predicting the number of seats that NDA might
win , others too were fairly accurate
Using statistical techniques ,
they computed the Chance ( Probability ) for each party , based on asking a few
thousands voters ( sample ) , their preferences
Now is the time to survey the
voters , once again , as to what do they believe , when it comes to BJP
fulfilling its poll promises
For each item ( of BJP's poll
manifesto ) , what is the perceived chance ( probability ) that the BJP Government
will fulfill / deliver on its promises ? Will it be 10 % - 50 % - 100 % ?
The outcome will determine
BJP's credibility among voters , vis-a-vis , its poll promises
It may be even an eye-opener
for BJP !
If conducted and results published
by end June 2014 , such a survey might even become a " Self Fulfilling
Prophesy " !
If it turns out
less-than-flattering , BJP will work twice as hard to prove the pollsters wrong
!
Here are the " Chances
" which I attach to fulfillment of each of BJP's following poll promises ,
by the end of 3rd year :
* Ensure minimization of
Black Money and setting up of a Task
Force
......... ( 50 % )
* Special Courts to stop
hoarding and black-marketing. ( 100 %)
* Set-up a Price-Stabilization
Fund.......( 100 % )
* Develop
labour-intensive Manufacturing ... ( 10 % )
* Empowering youth for
Self-Employment... ( 25 % )
* Transforming Employment
Exchanges to Career Centers(10% )
* Eliminating corruption
thru E-Governance... ( 10 % )
* Rationalization /
Simplification of Tax-regime.. ( 20 % )
* Insulate intelligence
agencies from political intervention and
interference..... ( 10 % )
* Strengthening physical
infrastructure with expediting work on
freight and
Industrial Corridors..... ( 15 % )
* Setting up Gas-Grids
and National Optical Fiber Network up to
the village
level....... ( 30 % )
* Quadrilateral project
for Bullet Trains..... ( 5 % )
* Establishment of National
E - Library..... ( 40 % )
* Implementation of
National Education Policy .. ( 50 % )
* Evolving further the
PPP model to PPPP model .. ( 50 % )
* Building 100
Mega-Cities................ ( 0 % )
Did I miss out any ?
Parallel with whatever the
Pollsters may - or may not - do , it would be worthwhile for BJP Tech-Team , to
come out with a mobile App ( to be named , " RUN - Rate Us Now " ? ),
to find out what voters feel , on a 5 star scale
Or , an App that would let the
voters prioritize among various promises
* hemen
parekh ( 19 May 2014 / Mumbai )
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